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June 18, 2009, 0 Comments

Karroubi’s Unlucky 7’s?

Nate Silver on the vote totals from towns in Iran:

As you can see from the graph, there are a lot more totals beginning in ‘7’ than you’d anticipate from Benford’s Law. The odds of this occurring by chance alone are extremely remote — about 10,000 to 1 against. The odds of an anomaly of this magnitude occurring for any of the nine leading digits for any of the four candidates are also quite remote — about 140 to 1 against.

I love Nate Silver. Even though this is a far-from-conclusive analysis, it’s this kind of geeking out that makes me want to change careers to statistics sometimes.

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I'm M. Jackson Wilkinson, a technologist, designer, speaker, educator, and writer in San Francisco. I recently moved from Washington, DC to work as a Senior Product Designer at LinkedIn, and am happy to take your feedback. I'm from Philadelphia, went to Bowdoin College in Maine, root for the Phillies, and love to sing.

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